INTERACTION EFFECT OF MAJOR POWER COMPETITION ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE ON INCOME INEQUALITY: IN THE CASE OF EAST AFRICAN IGAD MEMBER COUNTRIES

Alula Gebremeske

Abstract


In the current era characterized by globalization and interdependence, foreign aid has emerged as a crucial tool for safeguarding and promoting the national interests of donor countries. Nevertheless, the increasing divergence of national interests of major powers is casting a formidable shadow over the efficacy of foreign aid in mitigating income inequality. This paper seeks to examine the interaction effect of the US-China global power competition on the causal relationship between Development Assistance and income inequality in member states of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD). The study Employing a Multiple Moderated Regression and Random Effect Model to analyzes two decades data from eight East African IGAD member states. The findings indicate that the competition for global influence between the United States and China plummets the effectiveness of development assistance, leading to a widening impact on Income Inequality in IGAD member states.

Keywords


Development Aid; East Africa; Income Inequality, Random effect, US-China

References


AGUINIS, H., EDWARDS, J. R. & BRADLEY, K. J. 2017. Improving our understanding of moderation and mediation in strategic management research. Organizational Research Methods, 20, 665-685.

AIKEN, L. S., WEST, S. G. & RENO, R. R. 1991. Multiple regression: Testing and interpreting interactions, sage.

AKANMU, O., AJANI, E., OMITOYIN, B., EMIKPE, B. & OGUNBANWO, S. 2016. Organ bacteriological dynamics in Heterobranchus bidorsalis juveniles fed diets fortified with Lactobacillus fermentum, Saccharomyces cerevisiae and their combination. Bulletin of Animal Health and Production in Africa, 64, 483-491.

ALEMU, A. M. & LEE, J.-S. 2015. Foreign aid on economic growth in Africa: a comparison of low and middle-income countries. South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 18, 449-462.

ALI, A. M. & ISSE, H. S. 2005. An empirical analysis of the effect of aid on growth. International Advances in Economic Research, 11, 1-11.

ARBATOV, A. 2014. Collapse of the World Order? Russia in global affairs, 23, 85-93.

AYSAN, A. F., DEMIRTAÅ, H. B. & SARAÇ, M. 2021. The ascent of bitcoin: Bibliometric analysis of bitcoin research. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14, 427.

BARON, R. M. & KENNY, D. A. 1986. The moderator–mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of personality and social psychology, 51, 1173.

BARRETT, D., GORDON, B. & VAN RENSSELAER, K. FOREIGN AID AND THE POTENTIAL EFFECTS ON INCOME INEQUALITY IN RECIPIENT NATIONS. Allied Academies International Conference. Academy for Studies in International Business. Proceedings, 2005. Jordan Whitney Enterprises, Inc, 5.

BEROLZHEIMER, J. 1953. The Impact of US Foreign Aid Since the Marshall Plan on Western Europe's Gross National Product and Government Finances. FinanzArchiv/Public Finance Analysis, 114-140.

BOURGUIGNON, F., LEVIN, V. & ROSENBLATT, D. 2009. International redistribution of income. World Development, 37, 1-10.

CHAISSE, J. & GÓRSKI, J. 2018. The Belt and Road Initiative: Law, Economics and Politics, Brill.

COHEN, P., WEST, S. G. & AIKEN, L. S. 2014. Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences, Psychology press.

DABLA-NORRIS, M. E., KOCHHAR, M. K., SUPHAPHIPHAT, M. N., RICKA, M. F. & TSOUNTA, M. E. 2015. Causes and consequences of income inequality: A global perspective, International Monetary Fund.

DERSSO, S. 2014. East Africa and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development: Mapping Multilateralism in Transition No. 4.

GÖTZ, O., LIEHR-GOBBERS, K. & KRAFFT, M. 2010. Evaluation of structural equation models using the partial least squares (PLS) approach. Handbook of partial least squares. Springer.

GRIFFITHS, M., O'CALLAGHAN, T. & ROACH, S. C. 2008. International relations: The key concepts, Taylor & Francis.

HELM, R. & MARK, A. 2012. Analysis and evaluation of moderator effects in regression models: state of art, alternatives and empirical example. Review of Managerial Science, 6, 307-332.

HERZER, D. & NUNNENKAMP, P. 2012. The effect of foreign aid on income inequality: Evidence from panel cointegration. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 23, 245-255.

IACOBUCCI, D., SCHNEIDER, M. J., POPOVICH, D. L. & BAKAMITSOS, G. A. 2017. Mean centering, multicollinearity, and moderators in multiple regression: The reconciliation redux. Behavior research methods, 49, 403-404.

IRIS 2017. the Horn in 2022: An Outlook for Strategic Positioning in the Region. Inter-Agency Research and Analysis Network (IRIS).

LAYTON, T. 2008. The effects of foreign aid on income inequality. Sigma: Journal of Political and International Studies, 26, 4.

LEE, H. J. 2011. The impact of US foreign aid on human rights conditions in post-Cold War era, Iowa State University.

MACKINNON, D. P. 2011. Integrating mediators and moderators in research design. Research on social work practice, 21, 675-681.

MAGID, J. 2012. The Marshall Plan. Advances in Historical Studies, 1, 1.

MCGILLIVRAY, M., FEENY, S., HERMES, N. & LENSINK, R. 2006. Controversies over the impact of development aid: it works; it doesn't; it can, but that depends…. Journal of International Development: The Journal of the Development Studies Association, 18, 1031-1050.

MORGENTHAU, H. 1962. A political theory of foreign aid. The American Political Science Review, 56, 301-309.

MOSLEY, P., HARRIGAN, J. & TOYE, J. F. 1995. Aid and power: The World Bank and policy-based lending, Psychology Press.

MOYER, J. D., MEISEL, C. J., MATTHEWS, A. S., BOHL, D. & BURROWS, M. J. 2021. China-US Competition: Measuring Global Influence. Available at SSRN 3941475.

OECD, D. 2020. Aid by DAC members increases in 2019 with more aid to the poorest countries. OECD DAC. Paris.

OXFAM 2020. World’s billionaires have more wealth than 4.6 billion people. Oxfam International.

PANSARDI, P. & BINDI, M. 2021. The new concepts of power? Power-over, power-to and power-with. Journal of Political Power, 14, 51-71.

PHAM, T. H. H. 2015. Income inequality and foreign aid.

RAMAYAH, T., CHEAH, J., CHUAH, F., TING, H. & MEMON, M. A. 2018. Partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) using smartPLS 3.0. An updated guide and practical guide to statistical analysis.

SHARMA, S., DURAND, R. M. & GUR-ARIE, O. 1981. Identification and analysis of moderator variables. Journal of marketing research, 18, 291-300.

URBACH, N. & AHLEMANN, F. 2010. Structural equation modeling in information systems research using partial least squares. Journal of Information Technology Theory and Application (JITTA), 11, 2.

VERTIN, Z. 2019. Toward a Red Sea Forum: The Gulf, the Horn of Africa, & Architecture for a New Regional Order, Brookings Institution.

WALES, J. 2009. Just Say “No†Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa by Dambisa Moyo. Stanford Social Innovation Review. 2009.

YAZID, M. N. M. 2015. The theory of hegemonic stability, hegemonic power and international political economic stability. Global Journal of Political Science and Administration, 3, 67-79.

ZEDECK, S. 1971. Problems with the use of" moderator" variables. Psychological bulletin, 76, 295.


Full Text: PDF

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.