ACCESS TO FINANCE AND SME GROWTH IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: SURVEY-WEIGHTED EVIDENCE FROM THE 2023 WORLD BANK ENTERPRISE SURVEY
Abstract
Abstract
This paper examines the relationship between access to external finance and the growth of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Bosnia and Herzegovina, using firm-level microdata from the 2023 World Bank Enterprise Survey. Real annual sales growth over FY2019-FY2022, computed as the annualised log-difference of CPI-deflated sales, is regressed on an indicator of access to finance (holding a bank loan or line of credit) together with firm size, firm age, top-manager experience, exporter status, foreign ownership, and sector and region fixed effects, on an analytic sample of 241 SMEs by survey-weighted least squares with HC3 robust standard errors. Access to finance is positively but not significantly associated with real sales growth (b = 2.02, p = 0.521); the null result is robust to dropping the survey weights, winsorising the dependent variable, using employment growth as the outcome, replacing the binary indicator with the share of investment financed by banks, and excluding influential observations. Over a growth window dominated by the COVID-19 shock and the 2022 inflation surge, formal credit appears to have supported the resilience and continuity of Bosnian SMEs rather than measurable growth premia. The findings caution against inferring financing-growth effects from small unweighted samples and carry implications for SME credit policy in the Western Balkans.
Key words: access to finance; Bosnia and Herzegovina; firm growth; SMEs; World Bank Enterprise Survey
JEL Classification: D22; G21; L25; O16




